QB
Joe Burrow
- Last 4 games
- 23.02 pts/game
- 2027 average
- 21.64 pts/game
- Trend
- ▲ +6%
His last 4 games, reaching back into 2026. The last 4 games are darker; the dashed line is his 2027 average.
Weekly finishes
- Top 12 weeks
- 2 of 3
- Top 24 weeks
- 3 of 3
- Average finish
- QB13
- Best finish
- QB7
| Season | Games | Top 12 | Top 24 | Avg finish | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 3 | 2 (67%) | 3 (100%) | QB13 | QB7 |
| 2026 | 8 | 5 (63%) | 5 (63%) | QB14 | QB3 |
| 2025 | 17 | 13 (76%) | 16 (94%) | QB9 | QB1 |
| 2024 | 10 | 4 (40%) | 6 (60%) | QB16 | QB5 |
| 2023 | 16 | 12 (75%) | 16 (100%) | QB8 | QB1 |
| 2022 | 16 | 10 (63%) | 16 (100%) | QB10 | QB1 |
| 2021 | 10 | 4 (40%) | 10 (100%) | QB12 | QB4 |
Where he ranked among all QBs each week he played, by this league’s scoring. The boxes are 2027.
Consistency
- Floor
- 16.2 worst 25%
- Typical
- 24.4 median
- Ceiling
- 28.6 best 25%
- 10+ points
- 88% of games
- 15+ points
- 76% of games
- 20+ points
- 71% of games
His last 17 games (a season's worth), until he has six this season.
Week 5 matchup: @ MIA
- PPG by QBs vs MIA
- 24.0 pts/game
- Matchup
- 7
- His career vs MIA
- 30.52 pts/game in 2 games
- Last time
- 36.96 pts, 2026 week 16
| Stretch | Games | Avg PPG by QBs | Avg matchup |
|---|---|---|---|
| Next 4 games | Wk 5 @MIA, Wk 7 @BAL, Wk 8 TEN, Wk 9 @ATL | 19.2 pts/game | 17.8 |
| Fantasy playoffs (weeks 15–17) | Wk 15 @CAR, Wk 16 @IND, Wk 17 BAL | 21.9 pts/game | 13.3 |
| Rest of season | Wk 5 @MIA, Wk 7 @BAL, Wk 8 TEN, Wk 9 @ATL, Wk 10 PIT, Wk 11 @WAS, Wk 12 NO, Wk 13 @CLE, Wk 14 KC, Wk 15 @CAR, Wk 16 @IND, Wk 17 BAL, Wk 18 CLE | 20.8 pts/game | 15.8 |
Matchup of 1 is best and 32 is worst. Full schedule on the Season tab
Situations
| Split | Games | Pts/game | vs his average |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 38 | 24.18 | +3% |
| Away | 42 | 22.69 | -3% |
| Dome or closed roof | 9 | 25.42 | +9% |
| Outdoors | 71 | 23.14 | -1% |
| Cold (40°F or below) | 11 | 25.10 | +7% |
| Windy (15+ mph) | 5 | 18.52 | -21% |
| After a bye | 6 | 22.12 | -5% |
| Thursday games (short week) | 6 | 26.11 | +12% |
| Division games | 29 | 22.28 | -5% |
| Grass | 33 | 21.87 | -7% |
| Artificial turf | 45 | 25.06 | +7% |
Every regular-season game on record since 2021 (80 games). Overall average 23.40 pts/game.
- With Ja'Marr Chase
- 23.92 pts/game, 66 games
- Without him
- 23.33 pts/game, 4 games
- Difference without
- -2%
| With | Without | |
|---|---|---|
| Targets per game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Carries per game | 2.9 | 4.5 |
| Red-zone looks per game | 0.4 | 1.5 |
| Snap share | 86% | 95% |
Games without him: 2023 wk 12 (20.0), 2023 wk 11 (34.7), 2023 wk 9 (21.1), 2023 wk 8 (17.5).
Only seasons they were on the same NFL team. “Without” means Ja'Marr Chase didn’t play that week (injury, rest or not yet with the team).
Usage
| 2027 season | Last 4 games | |
|---|---|---|
| Snap share | 100% | 100% |
| Carries per game | 2.7 | 2.5 |
| Red-zone carries per game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goal-line carries per game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Opportunities are carries plus targets. Snap share comes from the NFL’s snap counts and can lag a day behind. Red zone is inside the opponent’s 20, goal line inside the 5; red-zone looks are carries plus targets, and touchdowns are his own rushing or receiving scores there.
Age and contract outlook
- Age
- 29 this season
- Typical peak for QBs
- 30
- Years left
- – free agent
| League year | Age | Typical change | Projected pts/game |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 29 | now | 23.4 |
| 2028 | 30 | +0.3 | 23.7 |
| 2029 | 31 | -0.6 | 22.8 |
The curve is how QBs scored from one season to the next at each age, averaged over every back-to-back pair of 8+ game seasons since 2017 (this league’s scoring). Projections start from his last 17 games and add the typical change; they say nothing about injuries or role. He’s a free agent, so this shows the next three seasons.
Compare QBs
Pick one or two QBs to see them next to Joe Burrow. The list is everyone at the position who’s played in 2027, best scorers first.