My Fantasy

TE

Mike Gesicki

Recent form

Last 4 games
8.88 pts/game
2027 average
13.75 pts/game
Trend
▼ -35%
1682026 week 17 vs ARI: 5.70 pts172026 week 18 vs CLE: 2.30 pts1820272027 week 1 vs TB: 16.30 pts12027 week 3 vs PIT: 11.20 pts3avg 13.8

His last 4 games, reaching back into 2026. The last 4 games are darker; the dashed line is his 2027 average.

Weekly finishes

Top 12 weeks
2 of 2
Top 24 weeks
2 of 2
Average finish
TE8
Best finish
TE4
SeasonGamesTop 12Top 24Avg finishBest
202722 (100%)2 (100%)TE8TE4
2026121 (8%)4 (33%)TE34TE2
2025164 (25%)11 (69%)TE25TE1
2024151 (7%)6 (40%)TE30TE11
2023173 (18%)8 (47%)TE27TE1
2022176 (35%)15 (88%)TE15TE2
2021159 (60%)12 (80%)TE12TE2
2020158 (53%)15 (100%)TE10TE2
2019149 (64%)14 (100%)TE12TE8

Where he ranked among all TEs each week he played, by this league’s scoring. The boxes are 2027.

Consistency

Floor
2.3 worst 25%
Typical
3.3 median
Ceiling
11.0 best 25%
10+ points
35% of games
15+ points
12% of games
20+ points
0% of games

His last 17 games (a season's worth), until he has six this season.

Week 5 matchup: @ MIA

PPG by TEs vs MIA
13.5 pts/game
Matchup
11
His career vs MIA
6.30 pts/game in 3 games
Last time
11.00 pts, 2026 week 16
StretchGamesAvg PPG by TEsAvg matchup
Next 4 gamesWk 5 @MIA, Wk 7 @BAL, Wk 8 TEN, Wk 9 @ATL10.8 pts/game16.0
Fantasy playoffs (weeks 15–17)Wk 15 @CAR, Wk 16 @IND, Wk 17 BAL12.1 pts/game12.7
Rest of seasonWk 5 @MIA, Wk 7 @BAL, Wk 8 TEN, Wk 9 @ATL, Wk 10 PIT, Wk 11 @WAS, Wk 12 NO, Wk 13 @CLE, Wk 14 KC, Wk 15 @CAR, Wk 16 @IND, Wk 17 BAL, Wk 18 CLE12.5 pts/game12.7

Matchup of 1 is best and 32 is worst. Full schedule on the Season tab

Situations

SplitGamesPts/gamevs his average
Home606.57+11%
Away615.16-13%
Neutral site (international)29.35+58%
Dome or closed roof163.94-33%
Outdoors1076.21+5%
Cold (40°F or below)165.14-13%
Windy (15+ mph)107.08+20%
After a bye73.07-48%
Thursday games (short week)63.77-36%
Division games444.85-18%
Grass706.66+13%
Artificial turf514.90-17%

Every regular-season game on record since 2019 (123 games). Overall average 5.91 pts/game.

With and without a teammate

With Joe Burrow
7.03 pts/game, 26 games
Without him
2.60 pts/game, 4 games
Difference without
-63%
WithWithout
Targets per game4.63.8
Carries per game0.00.0
Red-zone looks per game0.70.0
Snap share31%0%

Games without him: 2026 wk 12 (5.5), 2026 wk 5 (2.5), 2026 wk 4 (1.3), 2026 wk 3 (1.1).

Only seasons they were on the same NFL team. “Without” means Joe Burrow didn’t play that week (injury, rest or not yet with the team).

Usage

2027 seasonLast 4 games
Snap share42%42%
Target share14%10%
Air yards share20%15%
Touches per game4.03.0
Carries per game0.00.0
Targets per game5.03.5
Rushing share of touches0%0%
Yards per touch14.414.6
Catch rate80%86%
Points per opportunity2.752.54
Red-zone carries per game0.00.0
Goal-line carries per game0.00.0
Red-zone targets per game1.00.5
Share of team's red-zone looks7%3%
Red-zone touchdowns per game0.500.25

Opportunities are carries plus targets. Snap share comes from the NFL’s snap counts and can lag a day behind. Red zone is inside the opponent’s 20, goal line inside the 5; red-zone looks are carries plus targets, and touchdowns are his own rushing or receiving scores there.

Touchdown luck

Red-zone TDs
3
Expected
2.8 from his looks
Difference
+0.2 TDs

Touchdowns in line with his red-zone looks.

GamesRed-zone carriesGoal-line carriesRed-zone targetsTDsExpectedDifference
2027 season200210.5+0.5
Last 17 games17001132.8+0.2
2026 season1200721.8+0.2

Expected uses league-wide rates from every season on record: 42% of goal-line carries (inside the 5) score, 8% of other red-zone carries and 25% of red-zone targets. Rushing and receiving touchdowns only. Big gaps tend to even out.

Age and contract outlook

Age
30 this season
Typical peak for TEs
25
Years left
– free agent
peakAge 21: -2.1 pts/game vs peak22Age 22: -1.4 pts/game vs peakAge 23: -0.7 pts/game vs peak24Age 24: -0.2 pts/game vs peakAge 25: 0.0 pts/game vs peak26Age 26: -0.2 pts/game vs peakAge 27: -0.5 pts/game vs peak28Age 28: -0.9 pts/game vs peakAge 29: -1.3 pts/game vs peak30Age 30: -2.1 pts/game vs peakAge 31: -2.6 pts/game vs peak32Age 32: -3.0 pts/game vs peakAge 33: -3.3 pts/game vs peak34Age 34: -4.4 pts/game vs peakhim
League yearAgeTypical changeProjected pts/game
202730now6.5
202831-0.56.0
202932-1.05.5

The curve is how TEs scored from one season to the next at each age, averaged over every back-to-back pair of 8+ game seasons since 2017 (this league’s scoring). Projections start from his last 17 games and add the typical change; they say nothing about injuries or role. He’s a free agent, so this shows the next three seasons.

Compare TEs

Pick one or two TEs to see them next to Mike Gesicki. The list is everyone at the position who’s played in 2027, best scorers first.