My Fantasy

TE

Tyler Higbee

Recent form

Last 4 games
9.20 pts/game
2027 average
8.20 pts/game
Trend
▲ +12%
1892026 week 11 vs SEA: 2.80 pts112026 week 18 vs ARI: 17.60 pts1820272027 week 1 vs SF: 0.20 pts12027 week 3 vs DEN: 16.20 pts3avg 8.2

His last 4 games, reaching back into 2026. The last 4 games are darker; the dashed line is his 2027 average.

Weekly finishes

Top 12 weeks
1 of 2
Top 24 weeks
1 of 2
Average finish
TE35
Best finish
TE7
SeasonGamesTop 12Top 24Avg finishBest
202721 (50%)1 (50%)TE35TE7
2026102 (20%)5 (50%)TE30TE3
202531 (33%)2 (67%)TE19TE7
2024155 (33%)8 (53%)TE22TE1
2023168 (50%)11 (69%)TE19TE3
20221510 (67%)13 (87%)TE13TE1
2021157 (47%)15 (100%)TE13TE1
20201411 (79%)14 (100%)TE9TE1
20191410 (71%)14 (100%)TE10TE3
20181414 (100%)14 (100%)TE7TE3
20171212 (100%)12 (100%)TE5TE2

Where he ranked among all TEs each week he played, by this league’s scoring. The boxes are 2027.

Consistency

Floor
2.8 worst 25%
Typical
4.8 median
Ceiling
9.2 best 25%
10+ points
24% of games
15+ points
12% of games
20+ points
0% of games

His last 17 games (a season's worth), until he has six this season.

Week 5 matchup: vs BUF

PPG by TEs vs BUF
8.2 pts/game
Matchup
23
His career vs BUF
4.47 pts/game in 3 games
Last time
6.40 pts, 2023 week 1
StretchGamesAvg PPG by TEsAvg matchup
Next 4 gamesWk 5 BUF, Wk 6 ARI, Wk 7 @LV, Wk 8 LAC12.6 pts/game12.3
Fantasy playoffs (weeks 15–17)Wk 15 DAL, Wk 16 @SEA, Wk 17 @TB12.1 pts/game13.0
Rest of seasonWk 5 BUF, Wk 6 ARI, Wk 7 @LV, Wk 8 LAC, Wk 9 @WAS, Wk 10 @ARI, Wk 12 GB, Wk 13 KC, Wk 14 @SF, Wk 15 DAL, Wk 16 @SEA, Wk 17 @TB, Wk 18 SEA12.2 pts/game13.5

Matchup of 1 is best and 32 is worst. Full schedule on the Season tab

Situations

SplitGamesPts/gamevs his average
Home626.20+5%
Away635.96+1%
Neutral site (international)51.72-71%
Dome or closed roof586.49+10%
Outdoors725.44-8%
Cold (40°F or below)73.94-33%
Windy (15+ mph)45.35-9%
After a bye94.37-26%
Thursday games (short week)83.56-40%
Division games486.84+16%
Grass635.61-5%
Artificial turf656.25+6%

Every regular-season game on record since 2017 (130 games). Overall average 5.91 pts/game.

With and without a teammate

With Matthew Stafford
6.57 pts/game, 52 games
Without him
8.16 pts/game, 9 games
Difference without
+24%
WithWithout
Targets per game5.35.7
Carries per game0.00.0
Red-zone looks per game0.91.3
Snap share68%83%

Games without him: 2025 wk 18 (13.1), 2024 wk 9 (0.0), 2023 wk 18 (5.3), 2023 wk 17 (2.6), 2023 wk 16 (25.9), 2023 wk 15 (10.7) and 3 more.

Only seasons they were on the same NFL team. “Without” means Matthew Stafford didn’t play that week (injury, rest or not yet with the team).

Usage

2027 seasonLast 4 games
Snap share45%45%
Target share15%13%
Air yards share9%11%
Touches per game5.04.0
Carries per game0.00.0
Targets per game6.55.3
Rushing share of touches0%0%
Yards per touch7.411.8
Catch rate77%76%
Points per opportunity1.261.75
Red-zone carries per game0.00.0
Goal-line carries per game0.00.0
Red-zone targets per game1.01.0
Share of team's red-zone looks11%9%
Red-zone touchdowns per game0.500.25

Opportunities are carries plus targets. Snap share comes from the NFL’s snap counts and can lag a day behind. Red zone is inside the opponent’s 20, goal line inside the 5; red-zone looks are carries plus targets, and touchdowns are his own rushing or receiving scores there.

Touchdown luck

Red-zone TDs
5
Expected
4.1 from his looks
Difference
+0.9 TDs

Touchdowns in line with his red-zone looks.

GamesRed-zone carriesGoal-line carriesRed-zone targetsTDsExpectedDifference
2027 season200210.5+0.5
Last 17 games17001654.1+0.9
2026 season1000822.00.0

Expected uses league-wide rates from every season on record: 42% of goal-line carries (inside the 5) score, 8% of other red-zone carries and 25% of red-zone targets. Rushing and receiving touchdowns only. Big gaps tend to even out.

Age and contract outlook

Age
33 this season
Typical peak for TEs
25
Years left
– free agent
peakAge 21: -2.1 pts/game vs peak22Age 22: -1.4 pts/game vs peakAge 23: -0.7 pts/game vs peak24Age 24: -0.2 pts/game vs peakAge 25: 0.0 pts/game vs peak26Age 26: -0.2 pts/game vs peakAge 27: -0.5 pts/game vs peak28Age 28: -0.9 pts/game vs peakAge 29: -1.3 pts/game vs peak30Age 30: -2.1 pts/game vs peakAge 31: -2.6 pts/game vs peak32Age 32: -3.0 pts/game vs peakAge 33: -3.3 pts/game vs peak34Age 34: -4.4 pts/game vs peakhim
League yearAgeTypical changeProjected pts/game
202733now6.5
202834-1.05.5
202935-2.14.5

The curve is how TEs scored from one season to the next at each age, averaged over every back-to-back pair of 8+ game seasons since 2017 (this league’s scoring). Projections start from his last 17 games and add the typical change; they say nothing about injuries or role. He’s a free agent, so this shows the next three seasons.

Compare TEs

Pick one or two TEs to see them next to Tyler Higbee. The list is everyone at the position who’s played in 2027, best scorers first.