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Last 4 games: 0.63 pts/game
2027 average: 0.63 pts/game
Trend: Even

2027 season, week by week. The last 4 games are darker; the dashed line is his 2027 average. He has only 3 games on record.

Weekly finishes

Top 12 weeks: 0 of 3
Top 24 weeks: 0 of 3
Top 36 weeks: 0 of 3
Average finish: RB77
Best finish: RB66

Season	Games	Top 12	Top 24	Top 36	Avg finish	Best
2027	3	0 (0%)	0 (0%)	0 (0%)	RB77	RB66

Where he ranked among all RBs each week he played, by this league’s scoring. The boxes are 2027.

Consistency

Floor: 0.3 worst 25%
Typical: 0.5 median
Ceiling: 1.0 best 25%
10+ points: 0% of games
15+ points: 0% of games
20+ points: 0% of games

His last 3 games (a season's worth), until he has six this season.

Week 5 matchup: @ PIT

PPG by RBs vs PIT: 22.0 pts/game
Matchup: 9
His career vs PIT: – no games

Stretch	Games	Avg PPG by RBs	Avg matchup
Next 4 games	Wk 5 @PIT, Wk 6 TEN, Wk 7 @MIN, Wk 8 @JAX	16.5 pts/game	19.5
Fantasy playoffs (weeks 15–17)	Wk 15 @TEN, Wk 16 CIN, Wk 17 @CLE	16.5 pts/game	19.3
Rest of season	Wk 5 @PIT, Wk 6 TEN, Wk 7 @MIN, Wk 8 @JAX, Wk 9 DAL, Wk 10 MIA, Wk 11 @HOU, Wk 12 NYG, Wk 14 @PHI, Wk 15 @TEN, Wk 16 CIN, Wk 17 @CLE, Wk 18 JAX	17.3 pts/game	18.2

Matchup of 1 is best and 32 is worst. Full schedule on the Season tab

Situations

Split	Games	Pts/game	vs his average
Home	2	0.95	+50%
Away	1	0.00	–
Dome or closed roof	1	0.50	–
Outdoors	2	0.70	+11%
Cold (40°F or below)	0	–	–
Windy (15+ mph)	0	–	–
After a bye	0	–	–
Thursday games (short week)	0	–	–
Division games	1	1.40	–
Grass	1	0.00	–
Artificial turf	2	0.95	+50%

Every regular-season game on record since 2027 (3 games). Overall average 0.63 pts/game.

With and without a teammate

With Alec Pierce: 0.25 pts/game, 2 games
Without him: 1.40 pts/game, 1 game

	With	Without
Targets per game	0.5	0.0
Carries per game	1.0	4.0
Red-zone looks per game	0.0	1.0
Snap share	9%	15%

Games without him: 2027 wk 3 (1.4).

Only seasons they were on the same NFL team. “Without” means Alec Pierce didn’t play that week (injury, rest or not yet with the team). Too few games apart to compare yet.

Usage

	2027 season	Last 4 games
Snap share	11%	11%
Target share	1%	1%
Air yards share	0%	0%
Touches per game	2.3	2.3
Carries per game	2.0	2.0
Targets per game	0.3	0.3
Rushing share of touches	86%	86%
Yards per touch	2.0	2.0
Catch rate	100%	100%
Points per opportunity	0.27	0.27
Red-zone carries per game	0.3	0.3
Goal-line carries per game	0.0	0.0
Red-zone targets per game	0.0	0.0
Share of team's red-zone looks	4%	4%
Red-zone touchdowns per game	0.00	0.00

Opportunities are carries plus targets. Snap share comes from the NFL’s snap counts and can lag a day behind. Red zone is inside the opponent’s 20, goal line inside the 5; red-zone looks are carries plus targets, and touchdowns are his own rushing or receiving scores there.

Touchdown luck

Red-zone TDs: 0
Expected: 0.1 from his looks
Difference: -0.1 TDs

Touchdowns in line with his red-zone looks.

	Games	Red-zone carries	Goal-line carries	Red-zone targets	TDs	Expected	Difference
2027 season	3	1	0	0	0	0.1	-0.1
Last 17 games	3	1	0	0	0	0.1	-0.1

Expected uses league-wide rates from every season on record: 42% of goal-line carries (inside the 5) score, 8% of other red-zone carries and 25% of red-zone targets. Rushing and receiving touchdowns only. Big gaps tend to even out.

Age and contract outlook

Age: 24 this season
Typical peak for RBs: 24
Years left: – free agent

League year	Age	Typical change	Projected pts/game
2027	24	now	0.6
2028	25	-0.4	0.3
2029	26	-1.0	0.0

The curve is how RBs scored from one season to the next at each age, averaged over every back-to-back pair of 8+ game seasons since 2017 (this league’s scoring). Projections start from his last 17 games and add the typical change; they say nothing about injuries or role. He’s a free agent, so this shows the next three seasons.

Compare RBs

Player 2 Player 3

Pick one or two RBs to see them next to Seth McGowan. The list is everyone at the position who’s played in 2027, best scorers first.